After Surviving the Second COVID-19 Wave, India may be Approaching ‘Endemicity’

Since a second wave of the virus peaked in May, the number of new COVID-19 cases and deaths in India has declined drastically.

The country was destroyed by the Alpha and subsequently the Delta variants, which were first discovered in India and are now causing havoc around the world.

However, this week’s seven-day average of daily reported cases is only a fraction of the 400,000 recorded during the peak.

Deaths are also on the decline, with an average of less than 500 per day, down from over 4,000 per day.

More than 439,000 people have died in India as a result of the illness, according to health officials.

The reasonably consistent levels, which lasted all of August, led the World Health Organization’s chief scientist to speculate that India had attained “endemicity.”

That is, it may be endemic or always present in a specific location.

So, how did they get there, and is the pandemic’s deadliest phase ended in India?

Image Source: ABC

What is it like in India at the moment?

While there are the typical disclaimers regarding figures being understated due to insufficient testing and reporting, it’s evident that things have improved in India as a whole.

Delhi’s health system was utterly overrun in May, with medical oxygen supplies depleted, resulting in disturbing scenes of impromptu outdoor crematoriums.

Only about 2% of the COVID-19 beds in Delhi were occupied this week.

In certain states, business is picking up again, and schools are reopening.

Image Source: Quartz

The health system, according to Soumyadeep Bhaumik of the George Institute India in New Delhi, is now “working normally” and focusing on immunization.

However, he stated that life has not returned to its pre-COVID state.

He stated that while cases were low across much of India, there had been an increase in Kerala in recent days.

“There is no ‘lockdown’ now but movement restrictions appropriate to the transmission are now being implemented in different states in India,” he told the ABC. 

“Kerala has more restrictions now because cases are increasing, but other states, which have low cases, have fewer.”

Source: ABC

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